Merrill Kelly
AZ
3
HRs Allowed
5.6%
HR Rate (Pool)
+1.49
FIP-xFIP Gap
54
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
5.6%
HR Rate
Today's Matchups · 9 batters
AZ @ SEA · 4:10p
🔥 Meltdown Risk
| # | Batter | Tier | Score | Form | Flags | PA | HR | Peak EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 🟢 A | 84 | 🌧️ COOL | · | first look | |||
| 26 | 🟡 B | 70 | · | · | 2 | 1 💣 | · | |
| 27 | 🟡 B | 70 | 🌤️ WARM | · | first look | |||
| 50 | 🔵 C+ | 62 | 🌤️ WARM | · | 2 | 1 💣 | · | |
| 70 | 🟠 C | 56 | · | · | 2 | 0 | · | |
| 76 | 🟠 C | 55 | 🌤️ WARM | · | first look | |||
| 109 | ⚪ D | 49 | 🌤️ WARM | · | first look | |||
| 171 | ⚪ D | 39 | 🌧️ COOL | · | 2 | 0 | · | |
| 199 | ⚪ D | 34 | ❄ COLD | · | first look | |||
🏟️ T-Mobile Park
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Casey Schmitt | #46 | 60 | Chase Field | 109.9mph | 22.0° | 369.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Hunter Goodman | #17 | 78 | Coors Field | 111.4mph | 19.0° | 387.0ft |
| 2026-05-03 | Moisés Ballesteros | #12 | 46 | Wrigley Field | 101.0mph | 29.0° | 389.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | RV/100 | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 27.1% | +0.7 | 2 |
| Changeup | 26.1% | +2.4 | 2 |
| Cutter | 15.0% | +3.3 | 2 |
| Slider | 13.0% | -1.3 | 0 |
| Curveball | 10.6% | +0.5 | 2 |
| Sinker | 8.3% | +4.7 | 2 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Drew Gilbert | #181 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Luis Arraez | #180 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Matt Chapman | #137 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Daniel Susac | #133 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Bryce Eldridge | #109 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Willy Adames | #38 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Rafael Devers | #21 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Harrison Bader | #12 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Casey Schmitt | #4 | 76 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Drew Gilbert | #245 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Luis Arraez | #238 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Bryce Eldridge | #235 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Will Brennan | #215 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Matt Chapman | #208 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Daniel Susac | #114 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Willy Adames | #113 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Rafael Devers | #99 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Casey Schmitt | #46 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kyle Karros | #176 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Willi Castro | #154 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Troy Johnston | #145 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Ezequiel Tovar | #129 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Edouard Julien | #82 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | TJ Rumfield | #49 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jake McCarthy | #30 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Hunter Goodman | #17 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Mickey Moniak | #2 | 93 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Marcus Semien | #254 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Brett Baty | #240 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Bo Bichette | #225 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Carson Benge | #211 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Luis Robert Jr. | #195 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Mark Vientos | #151 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Francisco Alvarez | #144 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Francisco Lindor | #137 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Juan Soto | #100 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Carson Kelly | #70 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Nico Hoerner | #53 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Matt Shaw | #47 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Michael Busch | #35 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ian Happ | #30 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Alex Bregman | #25 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #22 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Dansby Swanson | #17 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Moisés Ballesteros | #12 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-21 | Tristan Peters | #242 | 8 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Edgar Quero | #234 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Luisangel Acuña | #214 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Chase Meidroth | #198 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Miguel Vargas | #120 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Andrew Benintendi | #112 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Colson Montgomery | #86 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Everson Pereira | #38 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Munetaka Murakami | #26 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |